Monday, 25 January 2010

Asia Morning Analytics: 250110 Asia Morning Wrap

Monday, 25 January 2010
Morning readers,

Friday was some day for Hang Seng! But what's more interesting was the development on US on Friday, as we saw S&P falling another 2%, marking one of the sharpest drops over several weeks now. Market continues to set in a bearish tone, with stimulus withdrawl over China and Obama's amazing plan to take down excessive risks from banks.

Now Friday was a big hit on the market, with across the board sell-off. Notably, however, is that high valuation stocks in the consumer sector got hit the hardest, suggesting institutionals may be off the table for a while. I continue to issue caution over recent development, though, this may be the "double-dip" that we have been looking for over a year ago.

The market currently is heavily clouded by policies and recent economic developments, however, the data coming out has been relatively positive. Therefore, to a certain level, we may welcome such policy changes, though the downside risk remains to be the delicacy of the market remains intact.

We believe this may be the "catch-up" with the fundamentals as we saw the market rallying at an amazing speed last year. Hence, this may be a healthy pullback, and investors will jump on board as policy overhang fades out.

On this note, we continue to look at consumer plays, whilst a sector rotation may remain intact, as we look for lower beta plays during this downturn to perserve capital. Today should be a day looking for overreaction, and day trading opportunities.

ongy out.

0 comments:

Post a Comment